The ledger · every call, graded
We keep the receipts
A foresight product is worth what its record is worth. Every collision the engine publishes is written down the day it is published and graded here against what the literature actually did — including the calls that went nowhere, and the ones that turned out to have been fused all along.
Live predictions under grading
0
Predictions on record
0
Fused since we called it
0
Still open
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Hit rate · matured (180d+)
A prediction is matured once it has had 180 days to come true; younger calls are listed but excluded from the hit rate, so the number cannot be flattered by counting predictions made last week.
The record starts with the next run
Predictions are archived from the moment they are published. Until the first archived run matures, the honest evidence is the held-out history below — the same engine, run against years whose outcome is already known.